Predicted hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico - 10/10/2018
 

Yeah, this is a long way off, but Ventusky (https://www.ventusky.com/?p=26.5;-75...em&w=09IAb9A9A) is showing a projection with that as a possibility. So all concerns along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico should keep this in mind.

Ouch! Looks like the storm is supposed to speed up a bit and maybe be making landfall at my back door on Tuesday, 10/09. :ack2:

Sometimes the fact that weather forecasts are usually wrong is really something to look forward to.

I am hoping that it is not a killer 'cane both for your sake, and also because a few days later I am planning to move back to the Gulf area.:ack2:

The NOAA hurricane center currently only lists a 20% probability of this forming a cyclone over the next 5 days, and a 0% chance over the next 48 hours. I suspect the most this storm may turn into is a weak tropical storm.

That is good news:)

Hope for the best, but plan for the worst. :D

Looks like the forecast has moved landfall on next Tuesday night further west. So keep an eye on it Lucille. Hopefully it will be a nothing burger.

Yeah, this is the GEM model in Ventusky showing the hurricane development. The GFS model shows nothing at all developing.

So who knows? :shrug01: I guess they all have their separate dart boards to use.

According to NOAA, the formation chance for this potential tropical storm through the next 5 days now stands at 70%.

Uh, change that. It is now 80%.