Predicted hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico - 10/10/2018 - FaunaClassifieds
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Old 10-01-2018, 12:41 PM   #1
WebSlave
Predicted hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico - 10/10/2018

Yeah, this is a long way off, but Ventusky (https://www.ventusky.com/?p=26.5;-75...em&w=09IAb9A9A) is showing a projection with that as a possibility. So all concerns along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico should keep this in mind.
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Old 10-01-2018, 09:21 PM   #2
WebSlave
Ouch! Looks like the storm is supposed to speed up a bit and maybe be making landfall at my back door on Tuesday, 10/09.

Sometimes the fact that weather forecasts are usually wrong is really something to look forward to.
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Old 10-02-2018, 06:11 AM   #3
Lucille
I am hoping that it is not a killer 'cane both for your sake, and also because a few days later I am planning to move back to the Gulf area.
 
Old 10-02-2018, 07:45 AM   #4
snowgyre
The NOAA hurricane center currently only lists a 20% probability of this forming a cyclone over the next 5 days, and a 0% chance over the next 48 hours. I suspect the most this storm may turn into is a weak tropical storm.
 
Old 10-02-2018, 09:22 AM   #5
Lucille
That is good news
 
Old 10-02-2018, 12:10 PM   #6
WebSlave
Hope for the best, but plan for the worst.
 
Old 10-02-2018, 12:18 PM   #7
WebSlave
Looks like the forecast has moved landfall on next Tuesday night further west. So keep an eye on it Lucille. Hopefully it will be a nothing burger.
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Old 10-02-2018, 12:23 PM   #8
WebSlave
Quote:
Originally Posted by snowgyre View Post
The NOAA hurricane center currently only lists a 20% probability of this forming a cyclone over the next 5 days, and a 0% chance over the next 48 hours. I suspect the most this storm may turn into is a weak tropical storm.
Yeah, this is the GEM model in Ventusky showing the hurricane development. The GFS model shows nothing at all developing.

So who knows? I guess they all have their separate dart boards to use.
 
Old 10-05-2018, 07:25 PM   #9
WebSlave
According to NOAA, the formation chance for this potential tropical storm through the next 5 days now stands at 70%.
 
Old 10-05-2018, 08:54 PM   #10
WebSlave
Quote:
Originally Posted by WebSlave View Post
According to NOAA, the formation chance for this potential tropical storm through the next 5 days now stands at 70%.
Uh, change that. It is now 80%.
 

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