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Preparedness & Self-Reliance Forum Survivalism, Livestock, Preparedness, Self Reliant Homesteading, Individual Liberty |
09-26-2022, 06:40 PM
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#31
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I think a lot of people in lower-lying areas along the coast are being advised to get out. Since the rotation is counter-clockwise and it's coming up from the south, there will be a fairly impressive storm surge.
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09-26-2022, 07:52 PM
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#32
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Yeah, it looks like that storm is just going to park itself (according to the latest track, anyway) right at the mouth of Tampa Bay for at least 12 hours. Maybe as long as 24 hours.
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09-27-2022, 12:23 AM
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#33
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Looks like most of the spaghetti models are converging on Tampa Bay for landfall.
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09-27-2022, 11:52 AM
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#34
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After clobbering Cuba Ivan's track has shifted south/east with the worst storm surge between Tampa and Bonita Beach (image at top of the page updates automagically).
Footage from Cuba this morning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ah8ITNRWLME
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09-27-2022, 05:06 PM
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#35
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Looks like as of today at 5:00pm, the track is showing landfall at Englewood Beach, FL around 02:00 am on Thursday, 09-29.
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09-28-2022, 12:18 AM
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#36
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I've been watching this from a distance, and it looks like it was pretty rough on Cuba. Seems like flooding from the storm surge was the worst of it though, and I think you are pretty much away from the coast, right?
Anyway I know the next day or two are going to be rough over there, just hoping it will go over strong but fast and you'll be in the clean up phase as soon as possible.
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09-28-2022, 12:22 AM
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#37
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I know you have a lot of information on tracking etc, but I've just found this YouTube channel KHOU 11 and I like the way it discusses the different models.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WXrw9r7b67I
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09-28-2022, 02:50 AM
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#38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bcr229
Mandatory evacuation orders issued for Tampa/Naples/Pinellas areas.
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Well, it certainly looks like they were correct about extending the evacuation order all the way down to Naples.
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09-28-2022, 05:24 PM
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#39
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Please check in and let us know how you and Connie are doing.
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09-28-2022, 05:50 PM
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#40
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Looks like the hurricane made landfall right up Charlotte Harbor around 3:00 pm today as a Category 4 storm. Wouldn't have been a good time to be on Sanibel Island or Englewood Beach for vacation as Connie and I have done many times in the past. Looks like it will be pretty ugly there through this storm. Probably would be some GREAT shelling on Sanibel afterwards, though.
We are OK up here. Just somewhat breezy, with no rain to speak of in the forecast. Matter of fact, I am watering some of the citrus trees right now. Been pretty dry here for a while now.
Connie had her port surgery yesterday, and I think she would have been OK had we had to evacuate had the storm headed this way. She is a little sore, but not disabled by the surgery. Not that I wish that storm on anyone, but I sure am glad it didn't come this way. We have had enough bad luck for the year, thank you very much.
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