Hurricane Irma

And I've been watching Ventusky and these are the predicted position of Irma at 11:00 am on Monday using the three different modeling methods they offer.

She keeps pushing further west with every update...

I do hope the eye passes to the east of you, my understanding is that the east side of the storm is the worst. I don't envy anyone on the west coast this weekend.

All of you guys living down south have been on my mind!
I've had to evacuate and then re-build with animals in the picture before and it's terrible. Long ago I made up my mind to just be prepared and shelter in place (except in raging fires--no real ability to shelter there,) and my thoughts with anyone doing so in the wake of the weather heading towards you.

If there's anything you guys need in the aftermath or the clean-up, once this is all said and done be sure and let us know.

Originally Posted by bcr229

She keeps pushing further west with every update...

I do hope the eye passes to the east of you, my understanding is that the east side of the storm is the worst. I don't envy anyone on the west coast this weekend.

Again, what models are you looking at to see this change in the track to the west? I've been watching all day, and the track is pretty much identical for every update.

Wherever it heads now, I'd think you're now better off staying put than risking getting caught out on the highway.

On the pro side, maybe all those rampaging monster snakes will take care of Rich's squirrel-in-the-bamboo patch problem....

Originally Posted by WebSlave

Where are you seeing a track predicting that path? I've been watching pretty closely and haven't seen anything predicting it moving into the Gulf.

Again, what models are you looking at to see this change in the track to the west? I've been watching all day, and the track is pretty much identical for every update.

That's pretty much what every news station is stating and every online report I can find since this morning has stated. The track shifted west and going up the gulf coast.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/ir...3-or-4-florida

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...e_and_wind.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/stor...cks_latest.png

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurrica...kes-aim-tampa/


https://apnews.com/8aeee2664ccb42fdb...mpa,-not-Miami

Originally Posted by WebSlave

Again, what models are you looking at to see this change in the track to the west? I've been watching all day, and the track is pretty much identical for every update.

I think the model you posted shows it on the gulf.

.........

What I am talking about is the eye of the storm being directly over the waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which would help to keep it's strength up and even likely increase in strength. As long as the eye (or general center of the storm) is over land, it should weaken the storm dramatically before it gets up to north Florida. Theoretically, anyway.

If the storm moves over water tomorrow, we are throwing stuff into the Jeep and heading west or northwest away from here. Otherwise, we will ride it out and just hope for the best. As long as we can keep moving away from the storm at a pace faster than the storm is moving, that will be OK. The Jeep doesn't seem very fragile, so it will get us where we need to go. Whatever damage takes place here will happen whether we are here or not, as we are in no danger of flooding, and only falling trees are my main worry.

We've got the generator fixed, a backup gasoline powered one, plenty of food in the freezer, and our water comes from our own pump, which Connie runs through a distiller for our drinking water. So we are good. No one has come around asking us to write our names and social security numbers on our arms with magic markers so they can identify the bodies afterwards.

Originally Posted by Helenthereef

On the pro side, maybe all those rampaging monster snakes will take care of Rich's squirrel-in-the-bamboo patch problem....

Well, honestly, that would make it all worthwhile to me.