Hurricane Dorian - 2019

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WebSlave

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Looks like they are predicting Dorian to become a hurricane and likely making landfall somewhere between Daytona Beach, FL and central coastal Georgia over the Labor Day weekend. If you have holiday plans in that area, you may want to stay alert to developments.

Subject to change without notice, of course.
 
Yep, apparently so. When I first started looking at it on Ventusky, the predictions were for it to fizzle out sometime around Wednesday or Thursday.

Now the forecasts are predicting Dorian becoming a Cat 3 hurricane and making landfall around Daytona Beach sometime Sunday night thru Monday morning.

I'm just glad I got my standby generator fixed in case it crosses over Florida and winds up in the Gulf. Water temps there are really warm so the storm would regain strength quickly.
 
Go away, storm thing. Git!

I hope things are okay. I know I have some funky trees here in Pissmeoffville.
 
Yeah, I've got a couple of dead trees near the house that I really need to take down safely. But you know how it is, one thing after another with higher priority (seemingly) at the time. Plus I've got a big live oak tree with some branches overhanging the side porch I need to take out, and another oak tree hanging over the old reptile building. But I'm not all that keen about climbing up on the roof of either building to do that. I did buy an item for my extension ladder that should make getting on and off the roof easier, but just haven't tried it yet.

https://www.guardianfall.com/perfor...safety/product/safe-t-ladder-extension-system
 
Looks like the forecast has upgraded Dorian to be a Category 4 storm at landfall. :(
 

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Anyone with holiday plans near Vero Beach, FL on Labor Day, might want to think about a PLAN B.

At least according to the latest forecast.
 
Change that to anyone with plans along the southeast coast next week...
 
Yeah, looks like Dorian is going to be messing up a lot of plans for folks that hoped for a pleasant Labor Day week at the Atlantic coast beaches.

But of course, it is still just a forecast track. And there are a lot of them, of which only one might be close to being accurate.

I sure wouldn't want to be anywhere near a category 4 hurricane. The below is a video of hurricane Michael last year, which came on shore as a category 5. No way in hell I would want to be in that mess. Or anything even close to it.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3ofAJSqpLM

Yeah, it IS only wind and water..... :ack2:
 
Looks like the latest forecast model track is swinging the path to an abrupt northerly jog soon after making landfall somewhere between Miami, FL and Titusville, FL sometime Tuesday morning (09-03-2019). Predictions are a Cat 4 hurricane during landfall.

hurricane_dorian_08302019_0500pm.jpg


I think if you are anywhere on the Atlantic coast from Miami, FL to Cape Hatteras, you need to be on your toes. Some models are showing it hugging the Atlantic coast as it heads northward.
 
Son left for PNW, I'm so grateful that weather will be decent for his 3 day drive (with stops) with a wife, child, 2 cats and a pit bull. All of you affected by Dorian you are in my thoughts and prayers, please stay safe.
 
I think there is actually a good chance that Dorian won't even make landfall in the USA. They keep moving the forecast tracks such that this later one might indicate it is turning north before hitting Florida.

hurricane_dorian_08302019_1100pm.jpg


But they sure are hyping this one up.....
 
Yeah, the "official" forecast track is pushing the storm further east with landfall *maybe* in South Carolina or North Carolina.

hurricane_dorian_08312019_0800am.jpg


There is a 11:00am update that shows virtually the same path. And the strength of the storm at landfall has been downgraded to a Cat 2.
 
Well, the forecast models are certainly looking better...

hurricane_dorian_model_08312019_1100am.jpg
 
Hoooleee fook... sustained winds 180 mph as of 11 a.m.

I feel sorry for the folks hunkered down in the Bahamas.
 
Yeah, Dorian is now a Category 5 hurricane. Sure hope it makes that turn to the north and then hopefully head northeast out to sea.

hurricane_dorian_model_09012019_1100am.jpg
 
Appears to be just a bit breezy around that hurricane center.

hurricane_dorian_windspeed_09012019_1100am.jpg
 
Interesting image. (if it loads up)
 

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Seems to be breaking up a bit. Definitely good news if it continues that trend.
 
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