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Predicted hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico - 10/10/2018

WebSlave

WebSlave

It is what it is, but certainly not what it was.
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Ouch! Looks like the storm is supposed to speed up a bit and maybe be making landfall at my back door on Tuesday, 10/09. :ack2:

Sometimes the fact that weather forecasts are usually wrong is really something to look forward to.
 

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I am hoping that it is not a killer 'cane both for your sake, and also because a few days later I am planning to move back to the Gulf area.:ack2:
 
The NOAA hurricane center currently only lists a 20% probability of this forming a cyclone over the next 5 days, and a 0% chance over the next 48 hours. I suspect the most this storm may turn into is a weak tropical storm.
 
Looks like the forecast has moved landfall on next Tuesday night further west. So keep an eye on it Lucille. Hopefully it will be a nothing burger.
 

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snowgyre said:
The NOAA hurricane center currently only lists a 20% probability of this forming a cyclone over the next 5 days, and a 0% chance over the next 48 hours. I suspect the most this storm may turn into is a weak tropical storm.
Click to expand...

Yeah, this is the GEM model in Ventusky showing the hurricane development. The GFS model shows nothing at all developing.

So who knows? :shrug01: I guess they all have their separate dart boards to use.
 
According to NOAA, the formation chance for this potential tropical storm through the next 5 days now stands at 70%.
 
Oh, and Ventusky is now showing a potential additional tropical storm forming south of Cuba a week from now, too. Not showing much motion though to give any good idea of where it is going to be eventually headed.

I have to say I am glad that Leslie has stayed parked out in the middle of the Atlantic.
 
Now named tropical storm Michael. Likely to become a hurricane in a couple of days.
 
Yeah, after Irma this year this really sucks. I might get a 7 day weekend out of the deal though, I doubt schools will be open tomorrow or Thursday, and why have Friday open when this weekend was our fall break anyway? Now watch, I'll be spending all my time bucking trees that fall, and hopefully on nothing important.
 
It does appear the Michael is going to cause some destruction although it does not appear headed for Texas. But you know how that goes, sometimes these storms have a mind of their own and do not docilely travel the paths made for them by weather experts.
My thoughts and prayers are with everyone in its path.

BTW I did claim last years flood disaster with the IRS, and while it did not of course cover my losses (I lost half of everthing I had) they did accept my deduction and I received a generous tax break.
 
WebSlave said:
Now named tropical storm Michael. Likely to become a hurricane in a couple of days.
Click to expand...
It's amazing how fast this one blew up from a tropical storm to CAT 4 landfall in under 72 hours.

I hope everyone down there stays safe and had time to get out of the way.
 
Indeed, Rich. Once you can do so safely, keep us posted on how you are doing down there. None of the reports I've seen from down there look good.
 
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