Updated hurricane forecast for 2020

E.Shell said:
Heads up:
Looks like Number 13 is not-so-lucky...

Southern and western FL are going to take a hit no matter what, and where it actually lands, nobody knows...:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/025007.shtml?cone#contents
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Yeah, been watching that one ever since it showed up on Ventusky. The forecast track seems to be gradually inching further west each time I check on it. But being on the east side of a Gulf based hurricane gets you the brunt of most of the feeder bands. But a dead center eyewall hit is no picnic, of course.

Luckily I placed another battery powered chainsaw on order last week. Might come in handy. I've got a couple of gas powered chainsaws laying around here somewhere, too, just in case.

Just keeping our eyes on this one. The forecast is far enough out that anything is possible before it actually gets into our neighborhood.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2020/tropical-depression-thirteen
 

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Like we don't have enough on our hands with Covid.
 
Looks like Louisiana is in for a tropical storm Tuesday and a hurricane Wednesday.
 
E.Shell said:
Looks like Louisiana is in for a tropical storm Tuesday and a hurricane Wednesday.
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Looks like Fourteen's track is moving further east. I can't see an updated track for Thirteen for some reason, but that appeared to be moving further west. Sheesh, sure could get ugly in Louisiana if they both slammed that state. The waters in the Gulf of Mexico should be pretty warm this time of year.
 
Ah, the reason I couldn't see TD Thirteen's track any longer was because it has been renamed to Tropical Storm Laura and evidently the people running the displays couldn't figure out how to tie the two together with the URL for their viewers. :face_palm_02:

Anyway, it seems to have moved it's track further west, now pointing to Mobile, Alabama. But I expect that will change too.
 

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Looks like Tropical Storm Laura's track hasn't changed much in the forecast, but Tropical Depression Fourteen's track has made a notable swing back to the west. :shrug01:
 

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Looks like the 5PM forecast track for TS Laura is moving it even further west. The way this is going, TD Fourteen and TS Laura might both impact Texas by the time all is said and done.
 

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WebSlave said:
The way this is going, TD Fourteen and TS Laura might both impact Texas by the time all is said and done.
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Actually, looking at the Ventusky modeling forecast, it looks more probably that Louisiana will catch both storms. TD 14 on Monday, and TS Laura on Wednesday, with Laura being by far the more powerful storm.

But I still think I'm still going to get the Grand Cherokee's gas tank filled up sometime in the next few days anyway.
 
I think if any of you have any plans to be going to Louisiana this upcoming week, you may want to modify your plans a bit.

BTW, tropical depression 14 became renamed to Tropical Storm Marco.

Fortunately with TS Laura crossing the length of Cuba, that should weaken it quite a bit before it can build back strength in the Gulf of Mexico.
 

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Dang. I wonder who put the curse on New Orleans?
 
bcr229 said:
Dang. I wonder who put the curse on New Orleans?
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At least the two storms aren't converging and making landfall there on the same day. But heck, maybe it would be better to just get it all over with all at one time. :shrug01:

At least they aren't Cat 5 storms being predicted. A couple of Michael category storms slamming an area one after the other would probably just wipe the land completely clean of all human structures.

Just feels like it is piling insult onto injury having landfalling tropical storms to worry about with everything else going on lately. Hopefully any that do impact us will be only minor ones and no monsters.
 
WebSlave said:
At least the two storms aren't converging and making landfall there on the same day. But heck, maybe it would be better to just get it all over with all at one time. :shrug01:
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I don't think two low pressure areas (both CCW rotations) can simultaneously coexist in adjacent spaces...
At least they aren't Cat 5 storms being predicted. A couple of Michael category storms slamming an area one after the other would probably just wipe the land completely clean of all human structures.

Just feels like it is piling insult onto injury having landfalling tropical storms to worry about with everything else going on lately. Hopefully any that do impact us will be only minor ones and no monsters.
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At this time, they are both projected to make landfall on Louisiana.

They say it is the first ever to have two storms like this:
https://www.livescience.com/two-hurricanes-gulf-of-mexico.html

There have never been two hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico at the same time before.
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Maybe the 'first on our (modern) record', but I sincerely doubt 'first EVER'.

Whomever decided that building New Orleans below sea level would be a good idea should be getting an extra helping or three of their hot coals this week...
 
I'm wondering if Marco blazing the trail might be a good thing to keep Laura from becoming much stronger that it would otherwise. As it is, Laura may be a Cat 2 at landfall. Marco may be a Cat 1.
 
Actually Marco looks right impressive in imagery right now.
 

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Hmm, I'm looking at the Ventusky models and they are predicting that Marco won't even make landfall before dissipating. Marco will turn to the west over water and just dissipate before reaching land, according to the model.

But Laura looks like it will then build up steam as it comes off of Cuba and continues towards Louisiana. Wind speeds don't seem very high in the models, so Laura might barely reach Cat 1 because of the Gulf being so churned up by Marco. Plus all the rain and cloud cover will likely reduce the water temps somewhat. Heck right now here below Tallahassee the air temp is only 78 degrees, and yesterday it barely got to 75 degrees.

Well, hoping that this won't be as bad as it could be. Louisiana sure seems to get more than it's share of lumps from tropical storms.
 
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