Well, here we go again... Hurricane Nate

[WebSlave]

Supposed to get messy around here by the weekend if the forecast track is accurate...

 

[Helenthereef]

Just saw it this morning, definitely looks like it's coming your way. What I saw was category 1, hope it stays that way.

 

[WebSlave]

The forecast tracks I see on VentuSky are showing it moving further to the west between Texas and Louisiana.

Unfortunately, when a hurricane moves into the Gulf of Mexico, it makes landfall somewhere either in the USA or Mexico. I don't think I have ever seen one just dissipate over water, or turn around and head south and then out into the Atlantic.

Hopefully for everyone impacted the most it will strengthen to will be a category 1 storm.

 

[WebSlave]

Latest forecast track...

 

[blueboost68]

Was planning a field herping trip with my daughter and her friend's but all we are going to do now is watch the weather.

 

[Helenthereef]

Yes, given the last few weeks I wouldn't take even a category 1 lightly. I'd imagine most of the issues would be storm surge on the coast, but you just never know.

 

[Helenthereef]

I don't think I have ever seen one just dissipate over water, or turn around and head south and then out into the Atlantic.
.

Be careful what you wish for.... Cyclone Winston in Feb 2016 went past us (as a Cat 3) in Fiji, hit Samoa, picked up speed , turned completely around and came back at us from totally the wrong direction, and as a Cat 5. No one had ever seen anything like it.

(Note that Cyclones are just southern hemisphere Hurricanes, but as such they rotate in the opposite direction, so their normal path of travel is from the north west to the south east - no one expected a cyclone to come FROM the east)

 

[blueboost68]

All of us on the gulf coast know the watch and wait thing all to well.

 

[Helenthereef]

Yeah, it becomes a regular part of life, doesn't it? Hope this one fizzles....

 

[WebSlave]

Well, the latest forecast track is being consistent with the last few I looked at in that the forecast track is gradually moving further and further west of the Tallahassee area. Not that this is what the people in coastal Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas want to see, though.

 

[Lucille]

Drat. My son and his wife had planned to go camping. With jobs and a baby a weekend camping trip has to be planned in advance, looks like their weekend may be ruined.

 

[WebSlave]

Yeah, the track is looking more and more like what the Ventusky models were showing a few days ago. Forecast track has moved even further west.

Sorry Lucille, looks like this might be moving closer to you.

 

[Lucille]

Sorry Lucille, looks like this might be moving closer to you.

I moved north of Houston a few weeks ago While that certainly doesn't give me a pass from the very worst hurricanes/tropical storms, it beats where I was, which was very much closer to the coast.

It does look like my son who lives in Houston may not get to go on his camping trip though.

 

[Helenthereef]

Glad to hear you're further away from all the water this time though Lucille...

 

[WebSlave]

Well, Nate is now officially a hurricane. Looks like the forecast track inched a bit eastward in the latest update.

 

[WebSlave]

Looks like Nate is strengthening now and forecast to make landfall in Mississippi tonight with winds around 105mph.

 

[blueboost68]

Yep and I am on the Mississippi, Alabama line on the coast going to be a long night.

 

[blueboost68]

Getting the eye wall power is flickering and it is blowing pretty bad. Lot's of flooding here in grandbay.

 

[Lucille]

Melvin be careful and stay inside, sending thoughts and prayers that you stay safe.

 

[blueboost68]

Thanks lucille and yes we are staying inside and waiting this storm out. I have been thought quite a few
but I take them serious there is no stronger force than mother nature.